For more than year, there's been a war in eastern Ukraine that nobody called a war. And for the past three months, there's been a cease-fire there that wasn't a cease-fire.
And now that the agreement reached in Minsk in February that was supposed to end hostilities in the Donbas is all but dead in the water, we seem to be lurching toward some kind of endgame. And it is shaping up to be as strange and counterintuitive as every other aspect of this through-the-looking-glass hybrid conflict.
This article Lose The Territory, Win The War is what is said in the You-Tube above plus lots more analysis.
Personally, I think,
Related link: The Daily Vertical: The Strange Endgame In Donbas ~ Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty