I've been asked to predict the information technology landscape in 10-15 years, and in particular what features my company's product will have.
WTF? I mean, imagine you are selling software in 1980 and you need to outlay what your software will do in 1995? Back in 1990 would you be able to discuss 2005? How much artistic license are we allowed in this?
I'll be compiling a list of references, starting with little gem I first looked at back in 2005 (it was actually released in 2004)
Related Link: EPIC 2014
WTF? I mean, imagine you are selling software in 1980 and you need to outlay what your software will do in 1995? Back in 1990 would you be able to discuss 2005? How much artistic license are we allowed in this?
I'll be compiling a list of references, starting with little gem I first looked at back in 2005 (it was actually released in 2004)
Related Link: EPIC 2014
The question really is whether companies that think they can predict 15 years in the future will survive the next five.
ReplyDeleteI'd advise you to pick up a copy of Ray Kurzweil's 'Age of Spiritual Machines'. He seems to have a pretty good track record predicting technological progress.
ReplyDeleteThanks Danyl - I'll be sure to have a look.
ReplyDeleteIf meat-based Richard Dawkins isn't spiritual then what hope is there for a machine?
ReplyDelete